New York Office Event, The University of Tokyo
The New York Meeting on Tropical Cyclones and Global
Storm-Resolving Analysis
Dates: February 5-7, 2024
The venue: The University of Tokyo New York Office
https://utokyony.adm.u-tokyo.ac.jp/
Photo of the keynote speakers: Feb. 5,
2024, UTokyoNY office
Group photo of the onsite participants
at the UTokyoNY office: Feb. 5, 2024,
●
This meeting is organized to interchange recent
developments in tropical cyclone (TC) research, particularly focusing on future
changes, evaluations, and management of the current risks due to TCs. For this
purpose, we would like to enhance the research activities related to global
storm-resolving models (or global km-scale models) to simulate better and
project TCs and understand their changes. The topics of the meeting include,
but not solely on, analysis of tropical cyclones in global storm-resolving models,
future changes in tropical cyclones, seasonal and sub-seasonal TC forecast, and
hurricane risks in the future.
●
Analysis of tropical cyclones in global
storm-resolving models
●
Future changes in tropical cyclones
●
Seasonal and sub-seasonal TC forecast
●
Hurricane
risks in the future
●
Research plan of Huracán and the TC part of EERIE
●
Activities related to global storm-resolving analysis
Registration form: Please submit this form by the end of November (Nov.
30, 2023), if you participate in the meeting.
●
Masaki Satoh
(AORI, The University of Tokyo) satoh@aori.u-tokyo.ac.jp
●
Pier
Luigi Vidale (Reading University) p.l.vidale@reading.ac.uk
●
Adam Sobel (Columbia University) ahs129@columbia.edu
●
Suzana Camargo (Columbia University) suzana.camargo@columbia.edu
●
Kevin Reed (Stony Brook University) Kevin.Reed@stonybrook.edu
●
Brian Medeiros (NCAR)
brianpm@ucar.edu
Each presentation must be within 20 min, and additional 5-10 min for
discussion.
Time difference: EST = UTC-5 = JST-14
PDF version
of the program with abstract
DAY1:
Feb. 5 (Mon), 2024
AM
(9:00-9:30) Registration and meeting setup
AM (9:30-12:00) Preliminary keynote talks
This session is also
available online. Please visit this page.
Chair: Masaki Satoh
-
Masaki Satoh (AORI, The University of Tokyo): Global
storm-resolving modeling approach for better understanding of future changes in
tropical cyclones
-
Pier Luigi Vidale (National Centre for Atmospheric
Science, Dept. of Meteorology, University of Reading): Cyclones of Tropical
Origin in a resolution hierarchy of atmosphere-only and coupled GCMs
-
Adam Sobel (Columbia University): Uncertainties in
tropical cyclone risk
-
Suzana Camargo (Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory,
Columbia University): ENSO diversity impacts on Tropical Cyclone Activity CMIP6
projections
-
Kevin Reed (Stony Brook): A storyline framework in
CESM for quantifying climate change impacts on hurricanes
PM1
(13:30-15:30)
Chair: Adam Sobel
-
Chia-Ying Lee (Columbia University): Climate change
impact on the tropical Pacific and global tropical cyclones
-
Yohei Yamada (JAMSTEC): Evaluating the relationship
between tropical cyclone genesis frequency and environmental conditions by
using a large ensemble simulation with 14-km mesh NICAM (online)
-
Colin Zarzycki (Penn State University): Grey swan
tropical cyclones simulated by 3km Earth system models (online)
-
Alexander Baker (Reading University): Analysis of tropical cyclones in developmental
km-scale nextGEMS simulations
PM2 (16:00-17:30)
Chair: Pier Luigi Vidale
-
Brian Medeiros (National Center for Atmospheric
Research): EarthWorks and analysis of storm-resolving simulations
-
Marat Khairoutdinov (Stony Brook University):
Simulation of tropical cyclones by gSAM
-
Daisuke Takasuka (AORI, The University of Tokyo):
Rapid intensification of tropical cyclones reproduced in k-scale multi-year
simulations with NICAM
Reception (18:00-20:00)
Light meals will be served at the University of Tokyo
New York Office.
DAY2: Feb. 6 (Tue), 2024
AM (9:30-12:00)
Chair: Suzana Camargo
-
Gabriel Vecchi (Princeton University): Linking past
and future hurricane activity changes
-
Tomoe Nasuno (JAMSTEC): Relationship between tropical
cyclone intensity and SST
-
Jonathan Lin (LDEO): Poleward migration of the latitude of maximum tropical cyclone intensity
- forced or natural?
-
Noel Brizuela (Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory): Can
TCs shape background climate?
-
Ishrat Dollan (Stony Brook University): Investigation
of likelihood of extreme rainfall from remnants of Hurricane Ida under future
warming
PM1
(13:30-15:00)
Chair: Kevin Reed
-
Dian-Yi Li (Stony Brook University): Exploring
Hurricane Storyline Simulations in WRF and CAM
-
Jimmy Booth (City University of New York, City
College) Tropical cyclone storm surge probabilities for the east coast of the
United States: a cyclone-based perspective
-
Marguerite Lee (Atmosphere and Ocean Research
Institute, University of Tokyo): Reducing the Intensity of an Approaching
Typhoon Forced by an Artificial Cold Pool Using the Stretched Version of a
Non-hydrostatic Icosahedral Atmospheric Model (NICAM)
PM2
(15:30-17:00)
Chair: Brian Medeiros
-
Olivier Pauluis (New
York University) Isentropic analysis of current and future tropical cyclones
-
Tomoki Ohno (Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute,
The University of Tokyo): Impact of moist thermodynamics expressions on
climatological temperature fields represented in a global cloud resolving model
-
Shuhei Matsugishi (Atmosphere and Ocean Research
Institute, The University of Tokyo): Global simulations of the atmosphere with
kilometers to a few hundred meters grid spacing
DAY3: Feb. 7 (Wed), 2024
AM (9:30-12:00) Discussions
Topics of the discussions:
-
Future
projections in tropical cyclones
-
Intercomparison of the global storm-resolving models
-
Tropical
cyclone risk management
12:00
End of the meeting
The University of Tokyo, The New York
Office (UTokyoNY)
ICCP-GSRA: International Core-to-Core Project on Global Storm Resolving
Analysis
